Probability Of Fed Rate Cut In March 2024 News. While the fed funds rate has likely reached its peak for this tightening cycle, questions remain about the precise.  — futures contracts that settle to the fed's policy rate are still pricing in about a 65% chance of a fed rate cut in march, down from about a 70% chance seen before.

The difference arises because, while the atlanta fed uses a.  — as the chart shows, the atlanta fed market probability tracker for march 2024 still gives an 80 per cent chance of a rate cut.